Ñublense vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 4
NUB
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 0
MAG
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COQ
2 - 2
NUB
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
4 - 2
NUB
14%
23%
62%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUB
0 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 0
CUR
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 1
COQ
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 2
CUR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 1
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
CUR
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |