NTSV Strand vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NTSV Strand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NTS
1 - 4
ITZ
20%
22%
57%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
NTS
2 - 4
VFR
16%
21%
63%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FLE
0 - 0
NTS
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NTS
0 - 1
EIB
15%
20%
66%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 1
NTS
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
HEI
1 - 2
LUB
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 1
LUB
38%
23%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUB
3 - 0
KRO
44%
24%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
COK
3 - 2
LUB
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
LUB
0 - 1
HOL
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |