NTSV Strand vs Itzehoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NTSV Strand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
NTS
2 - 4
VFR
16%
21%
63%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FLE
0 - 0
NTS
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NTS
0 - 1
EIB
15%
20%
66%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 1
NTS
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NTS
1 - 1
SCH
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 2
ITZ
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ITZ
1 - 1
FLE
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
EIB
4 - 1
ITZ
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ITZ
4 - 0
HEI
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LUB
2 - 2
ITZ
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |