NTC Western vs Floreat Athena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NTC Western
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
NTW
2 - 3
ECU
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
NTW
1 - 4
STI
11%
18%
71%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NTW
0 - 2
BUN
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
NTW
1 - 4
ING
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
NTW
3 - 3
PEG
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Floreat Athena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FLO
1 - 2
BAY
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
FLO
0 - 2
COC
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
ECU
1 - 2
FLO
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
FLO
2 - 2
STI
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BUN
0 - 2
FLO
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |