NSC vs ZOB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
7º
37
2º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 3
NSC
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NSC
2 - 0
VVM
68%
17%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 2
NSC
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 1
NSC
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 2
BOL
31%
21%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ZOB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ZOB
1 - 4
BOL
42%
22%
37%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ZUI
3 - 2
ZOB
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ZOB
3 - 2
SDC
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 3
NUN
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 2
ZOB
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |