NSC vs BOL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
48.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
7º
55
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
2 - 1
NSC
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NSC
1 - 4
ZUI
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NUN
2 - 1
NSC
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 1
DEM
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HBO
2 - 5
NSC
53%
21%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
0 - 3
BOL
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 1
SDC
28%
22%
51%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZUI
1 - 3
BOL
72%
15%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 2
NUN
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 0
ZOB
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |