NQ Razorbacks vs Far North Qld Bulls analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NQ Razorbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
QAS
3 - 2
NQR
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
NQR
3 - 3
BRI
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
WMF
2 - 2
NQR
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NQR
4 - 3
GCS
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SUN
3 - 1
NQR
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Far North Qld Bulls
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
FNQ
5 - 0
BSF
85%
11%
5%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
CCA
0 - 6
FNQ
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 3
FNQ
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
FNQ
4 - 2
QAS
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
WMF
3 - 2
FNQ
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |