NPM Silmet vs Tartu Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+325%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NPM Silmet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TIN
5 - 0
NPM
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NPM
0 - 3
MAA
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 67 | 58 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NPM
0 - 0
FHT
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
NPM
0 - 4
KOS
8%
12%
80%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCR
4 - 2
NPM
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
TKL
1 - 0
FCE
41%
21%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RAK
4 - 0
TKL
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TKL
3 - 0
FCT
19%
19%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +4 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 6
TKL
50%
20%
30%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TKL
0 - 0
KJA
89%
8%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |