Nový Jičín vs 1. HFK Olomouc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
14º
32
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nový Jičín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 0
KOZ
15%
19%
67%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
2 - 3
NOV
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
TJS
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 0
NOV
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 2
NSO
19%
19%
62%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
1. HFK Olomouc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
HFK
0 - 3
STR
14%
20%
67%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KOZ
3 - 0
HFK
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HFK
2 - 2
HOL
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
6 - 3
HFK
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HFK
3 - 1
TJT
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |