Nový Jičín vs Havířov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
10º
6º
35
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nový Jičín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
TJU
2 - 0
NOV
60%
20%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
FKP
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BOS
2 - 1
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
BRI
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
OPA
0 - 1
NOV
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Havířov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 1
VAL
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SOB
2 - 4
HAV
19%
20%
62%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 3
MFK
37%
21%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 0
TJU
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FKP
0 - 1
HAV
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |