Nový Jičín vs Šternberk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
14º
43
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nový Jičín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
STR
3 - 0
NOV
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 4
HOL
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
TJT
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KNH
2 - 0
NOV
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 4
VSE
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Šternberk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
STE
0 - 3
KOZ
26%
25%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BAT
2 - 0
STE
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TJS
0 - 0
STE
32%
21%
46%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STE
1 - 2
SLA
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NSO
1 - 2
STE
51%
21%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |