Novorizontino vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
CRI
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
NOV
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
VIT
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
NOV
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
PPE
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
PAL
29%
28%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 0
AMF
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 0
SCI
52%
26%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |