Novorizontino vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
3 - 0
NOV
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAH
21%
29%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 1
NAU
49%
28%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
4 - 3
TOM
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAU
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAM
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 1
NAU
59%
24%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |