Novorizontino vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAM
36%
30%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SPO
27%
31%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 1
NOV
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 3
OPE
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
GUA
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
VAS
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |