Novorizontino vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
62%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
CSA
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
PPE
32%
29%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
GRE
15%
26%
59%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
CRZ
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |