Novorizontino vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
SLU
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOV
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
PEL
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 2
SLU
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAX
25%
30%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |