Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 2
NOV
48%
22%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAT
1 - 0
NOV
20%
21%
59%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
MIR
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
UNI
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FER
4 - 0
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
PAL
10%
18%
71%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOT
28%
29%
44%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 2
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
REM
0 - 0
BOT
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
REM
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |