Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
2 - 2
NOV
11%
16%
74%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
NOV
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
MAR
73%
19%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAR
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 3
NOV
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
2 - 2
NOV
11%
16%
74%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
6 - 1
RIO
33%
23%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 4
BSP
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |