Novorizontino vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
NOV
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
OES
31%
23%
46%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 3
SAN
8%
19%
74%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NOV
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 3
PPE
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 2
AGU
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 2
AUD
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
AUD
3 - 2
RBB
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 1
COR
20%
27%
53%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |