Novorizontino vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 1
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
OES
2 - 1
NOV
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 1
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
IND
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |