Novo Hamburgo vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
YPI
3 - 3
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
PEL
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAX
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
4 - 3
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
GRE
13%
24%
63%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
SLU
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 0
JUV
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 1
FFL
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
AVA
5 - 2
JUV
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |