Novigrad vs Grobničan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VNV
1 - 1
NOV
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
NKR
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAZ
2 - 1
NOV
63%
19%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
ROV
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ULJ
3 - 1
NOV
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Grobničan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NKG
0 - 6
JAP
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NKC
1 - 6
NKG
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NKB
2 - 3
NKG
15%
17%
68%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NKG
5 - 0
VNV
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NKR
0 - 2
NKG
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |