Novigrad vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NKR
1 - 4
NOV
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
NKB
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NNH
0 - 1
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
NMF
69%
17%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VNV
0 - 2
NOV
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
JAP
3 - 0
NKG
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NHV
0 - 0
JAP
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
JAP
1 - 0
NKC
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ROV
1 - 1
JAP
45%
26%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
NKB
2 - 2
JAP
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |