Novigrad vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
LUK
0 - 2
NOV
42%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
HDR
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 0
ZMA
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
NKV
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
HDR
2 - 0
NOV
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
HNG
2 - 1
NKD
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HNS
1 - 2
HNG
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
HNG
8 - 0
MOS
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +3 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
HNG
0 - 2
ZAG
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
HNK
3 - 1
HNG
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |