Noves vs CDEEF Patrocinio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PTO
3 - 0
ECG
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ECG
0 - 0
MEN
69%
16%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
POL
2 - 3
ECG
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ECG
1 - 1
CDL
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ECG
1 - 1
VSA
55%
20%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CDEEF Patrocinio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 2
CBA
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MOC
2 - 1
CDE
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 0
ESC
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
CDE
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FUE
2 - 1
CDE
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |