Novelda UCF vs Mutxamel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
NUD
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NUD
2 - 1
ATL
26%
24%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 4
NUD
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NUD
3 - 3
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 0
NUD
78%
15%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mutxamel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MUT
4 - 0
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 4
MUT
35%
23%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MUT
8 - 0
SFF
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MUT
0 - 1
POL
32%
23%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BFL
1 - 2
MUT
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |