Novelda UCF vs Redovan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 3
NUD
24%
24%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NUD
4 - 1
VIL
14%
20%
66%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NUD
1 - 2
NUC
9%
18%
73%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
NUD
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NUD
0 - 1
ALM
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RED
1 - 0
NUC
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
IND
1 - 3
RED
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RED
1 - 2
ALM
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 0
RED
60%
21%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RED
0 - 0
VIJ
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |