Novelda UCF vs Carrús UD Ilicitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
THD
3 - 1
NUD
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NUD
3 - 0
SPO
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ELD
3 - 1
NUD
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NUD
1 - 1
RED
19%
23%
59%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 3
NUD
24%
24%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carrús UD Ilicitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
NUC
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IND
5 - 0
UNI
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALM
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 0
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 4
VIJ
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |