Novelda UCF vs Carrús UD Ilicitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
31.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
ELU
0 - 0
NUD
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
NUD
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NUD
2 - 0
THD
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NUD
0 - 4
ALM
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
NUD
41%
23%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carrús UD Ilicitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
UNI
54%
23%
24%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALM
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PET
0 - 2
UNI
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
BEN
36%
26%
38%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
RAV
1 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |