Novelda UCF vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
50.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
NUD
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NUD
1 - 3
ELD
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RED
2 - 0
NUD
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NUD
3 - 1
BEN
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
NUD
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
THD
1 - 2
NUC
39%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
IND
3 - 2
THD
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
THD
0 - 0
ALM
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CRE
3 - 0
THD
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
THD
2 - 2
VIJ
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |