Novelda UCF vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NUD
0 - 4
ALM
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
NUD
41%
23%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NUD
3 - 3
PET
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RED
2 - 3
NUD
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
NUD
0 - 0
BEN
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
THD
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
THD
3 - 2
RED
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 2
THD
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
THD
2 - 0
PET
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
THD
1 - 2
ATH
15%
19%
66%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |