Novelda UCF vs Murada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 0
NUD
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NUD
2 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
NUD
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NUD
2 - 1
PIN
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NUD
3 - 3
VIJ
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 0
UNI
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
POL
0 - 2
MUR
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
MUR
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
MUR
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
4 - 0
UEC
21%
19%
60%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |