Novelda UCF vs Benferri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
NUD
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NUC
5 - 0
NUD
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NUD
0 - 0
IND
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 2
NUD
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NUD
1 - 1
CRE
17%
22%
62%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benferri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
NUC
22%
24%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
BEN
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 1
ALM
62%
22%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CRE
4 - 0
BEN
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 0
VIJ
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |