Novelda UCF vs Atlético Catral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
NUD
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NUD
1 - 2
MUR
28%
23%
50%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 0
NUD
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NUD
2 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
NUD
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Catral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
UNI
52%
22%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
POL
1 - 3
ATL
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
UEC
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |