Novelda UCF vs UD Aspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BFL
0 - 2
NUD
54%
20%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NUD
4 - 0
GOR
44%
21%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 1
NUD
54%
20%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
NUD
1 - 1
NUC
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 1
NUD
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ASP
2 - 4
ATL
18%
18%
64%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MUT
1 - 4
ASP
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ASP
1 - 0
POL
28%
22%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
ASP
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ASP
4 - 0
UDO
33%
22%
46%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |