Novelda UCF vs Almoradí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
NUD
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NUD
1 - 4
TOR
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 3
NUD
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VIJ
0 - 3
NUD
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NUD
2 - 1
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Almoradí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
POL
0 - 2
ALM
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 3
CAM
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 2
ALM
30%
24%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 0
UEC
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |