Novelda UCF B vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RAY
4 - 1
NUC
66%
17%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NUC
5 - 3
BNY
79%
12%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 4
NUC
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NUC
5 - 0
NOV
79%
13%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NUC
5 - 1
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
CUI
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BIA
1 - 2
PET
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
PEA
68%
17%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
COC
4 - 3
PET
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PET
1 - 3
ASP
53%
21%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |