Novelda UCF B vs Sporting Villena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
NUC
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NUC
4 - 1
RAY
45%
21%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BNY
2 - 4
NUC
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NUC
4 - 1
CAS
51%
20%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
NUC
22%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Villena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SVN
1 - 2
CUI
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BIA
0 - 1
SVN
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SVN
2 - 3
PEA
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
COC
4 - 0
SVN
36%
22%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SVN
3 - 2
ASP
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |