Novelda UCF B vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
38.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+133%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ONI
4 - 1
NUC
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BIA
1 - 5
NUC
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
NUC
5 - 1
PEA
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COC
2 - 5
NUC
17%
18%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NUC
3 - 2
ASP
74%
14%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
8 - 1
ELC
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MON
2 - 3
CUI
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SVN
3 - 4
MON
11%
14%
75%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
BIA
1 - 5
MON
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MON
4 - 1
PET
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |