Novelda UCF B vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
74%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 1
ASP
23%
19%
58%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PEA
3 - 1
NUC
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 3
ELC
18%
19%
63%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 1
NUC
75%
14%
10%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NUC
1 - 3
MON
33%
19%
47%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
PEA
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 2
CAS
42%
21%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATL
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MON
3 - 3
CAS
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
RAY
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |