Novelda UCF B vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
NUC
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NUC
1 - 9
PET
76%
13%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
NUC
3 - 8
MON
41%
20%
39%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ONI
4 - 1
NUC
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BIA
1 - 5
NUC
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
XIX
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
5 - 2
CAS
50%
21%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAS
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
PET
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
COC
2 - 0
CAS
51%
19%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |