Novelda UCF B vs Biarense A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
AGO
4 - 0
NUC
89%
7%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
NUC
3 - 5
UDL
16%
17%
67%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
7 - 0
NUC
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASP
4 - 0
NUC
63%
17%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
NUC
6 - 4
PEA
38%
21%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Biarense A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2025 |
BIA
2 - 6
PEA
37%
23%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ELC
3 - 0
BIA
84%
10%
5%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
BIA
0 - 2
ATL
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
MON
3 - 2
BIA
64%
18%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
BIA
0 - 2
RAY
6%
11%
83%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |