Novelda UCF B vs Biarense A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 1
NUC
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NUC
2 - 1
RAY
31%
20%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NUC
4 - 2
VIL
23%
19%
58%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
NUC
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NUC
3 - 2
XIX
42%
20%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Biarense A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BIA
2 - 1
XIX
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
BIA
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BIA
0 - 2
ATL
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
BIA
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
BIA
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |