Novelda CF vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALZ
4 - 3
NOV
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAG
52%
24%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 0
NOV
27%
26%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
IZA
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
IZA
3 - 2
NOV
38%
28%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 3
CRE
65%
19%
15%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALZ
1 - 1
VIL
34%
25%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ONT
0 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 4
LEV
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |