Novelda CF vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 0
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
RIB
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 2
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
7 - 0
UTI
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAG
2 - 1
NOV
26%
28%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 0
JOV
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
TOR
64%
19%
16%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CUL
2 - 0
VIL
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
REQ
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |