Novelda CF vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
NOV
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
DEN
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JOV
1 - 2
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
MUR
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRE
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ACE
4 - 1
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
BUR
56%
21%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 1
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
LLO
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |