Novelda CF vs CD Utiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
GUA
13%
22%
65%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
NUC
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
YEC
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALZ
2 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Utiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UTI
2 - 0
JOV
32%
27%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 0
UTI
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
UTI
1 - 4
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UTI
1 - 2
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NUC
1 - 0
UTI
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |