Novelda CF vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
NOV
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
NOV
0 - 0
ELD
41%
28%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
JOV
0 - 1
NOV
25%
29%
46%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NOV
0 - 1
NUC
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 2
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
THA
1 - 2
CRE
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 1
THA
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
ELD
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
JOV
1 - 1
THA
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
THA
0 - 0
NUC
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |