Novelda CF vs Sp. Requena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2007 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOV
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 1
OND
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ALC
0 - 1
NOV
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
NOV
3 - 1
SDS
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
JOV
2 - 2
NOV
30%
29%
41%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sp. Requena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPR
69%
19%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
SPR
0 - 5
DEN
14%
22%
64%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SPR
0 - 1
PEG
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
OND
1 - 1
SPR
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SPR
1 - 2
CRE
26%
24%
51%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |