Novelda CF vs Sporting Mahonés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ALB
5 - 0
NOV
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 1
NAV
83%
10%
7%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
ALI
3 - 3
NOV
81%
11%
8%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
NOV
3 - 1
VIL
75%
14%
12%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
NOV
4 - 1
UBC
78%
13%
10%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Mahonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
MHN
3 - 2
LEV
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
ELC
2 - 0
MHN
80%
12%
9%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
MHN
1 - 1
CAT
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
HEL
3 - 1
MHN
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |